Democrat Josh Weil’s Stunning Overperformance in Florida’s 6th Congressional District Is a Flashing Red Warning Sign for Trump and GOP

Tonight, Democrat Josh Weil’s valiant campaign overperformed in a Trump + 30 district by a significant margin. Democrats continue to overperform in special elections, now overperforming in 14 out of the 15 elections so far this year. In the final GOTV weekend, DNC Chair Ken Martin traveled to Florida’s 6th District to support Weil because the DNC is committed to organizing everywhere and building infrastructure for the long-term.

One thing is for certain: This result in a Trump +30 district should make Republicans nervous for November.

Following tonight’s election results in Florida’s 6th congressional district, Chair Ken Martin released the following statement:

“Congratulations to Josh Weil for running a strong campaign. In 2025, Democrats have overperformed the top of the ticket in nearly every election as voters turn out in blue, purple, and red districts to voice their anger at Donald Trump and Elon Musk. Tonight was no different. Trump promised to lower costs on Day One. Instead, he and his shadow president Elon Musk have taken a chainsaw to our economy and jeopardized programs like Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid. From a Pennsylvania Democrat winning in a deep-red district last week to Donald Trump being terrified of losing Elise Stefanik’s seat, Republicans everywhere know a reckoning is coming – Democrats are taking the majority in 2026.”

Tonight’s special election in Florida is only the latest evidence showing that Trump, Musk and Republicans across the country are in big trouble, even in deep-red districts. Last week, Democrat James Malone claimed an upset victory in an R+23 district in Lancaster County, Pennsylvania, crediting voters’ anger at Trump’s chaos as a major factor in his race.

In fact, throughout 2025, Democrats have consistently overperformed Republicans in special elections. Earlier this year, Democrats maintained control of the Virginia House of Delegates and Virginia Senate. In Iowa, Democrat Mike Zimmer flipped a district Trump won by 21 points, overperforming the top of the November ticket by 14 points, while Democrat Nannette Griffin overperformed by 24 points. In March, Minnesota Dems held the Minnesota Senate and won a House seat.

All of these elections, including tonight’s special elections in Florida, spell major trouble for Trump and Republicans. Retaining a district Trump won by more than 30 points in 2024 put local and national Republicans in a tailspin mere months later thanks to Trump’s deeply unpopular attacks on working families.

In the weeks and months ahead, Democrats will continue to organize and uplift the organic anger of voters across this country as we stand up to Republican attacks and prepare for critical electoral fights ahead.