ICYMI: New Poll Shows Dead Heat In Race For Arizona’s 8th Congressional District

Dr. Hiral Tipirneni and Debbie Lesko in 46%-46% dead heat a week before election day; second poll in 48 hours


GLENDALE, AZ – Today the Hiral for Congress campaign released a new poll indicating that Dr. Hiral Tipirneni and former State Senator Debbie Lesko are locked in a dead heat one week before election day. Over the course of the past month, Lesko has surrendered her 14-point lead.


“It’s heartening to see the results of this new poll, but we are taking nothing for granted in this final week,” said Dr. Hiral Tipirneni. “I’ll be fighting tooth and nail until the polls close to earn every last vote, and make it clear to West Valley families that I’ll fight for their interests, not those of corporations and DC lobbyists,” added Hiral.


Key Takeaways:


  • This race is now tied: Among voters who have already voted. Dr. Tipirneni ties Lesko 46%- 46%. Similarly, among voters who have already voted or plan to vote, Dr. Tipirneni ties 44%-44%. This is a nearly 10-point swing in favor or Dr. Tipirneni since March.


  • The crossover vote could cost Lesko this election: Among voters who have already voted, 13% of registered Republicans voted for Dr. Tipirneni. If this trend holds, it is just enough drift to push this special election to Dr. Tipirneni.


  • Dr. Tipirneni’s favorable rating is surging while Lesko’s unfavorable rating has risen: Voters view Dr. Tipirneni favorably by 18 points, whereas Lesko’s unfavorable rating is at a whopping 40%. For Lesko, the damage among Republicans voters is measureable with 17% having an unfavorable view of her.


Yesterday, Emerson College issued a poll showing Tipirneni and Lesko in a 45%-46% statistical dead heat.