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ICYMI: Trump’s Proposals Could Drain Social Security in Six Years

Key Point: “A new report projects that the Social Security Trust Fund might run out of money within six years under a Donald Trump presidency.”

Washington Post: Trump proposals could drain Social Security in 6 years, budget group says

By: Julie Zauzmer Weil

  • A new report projects that the Social Security Trust Fund might run out of money within six years under a Donald Trump presidency.
  • Many of Trump’s campaign proposals would accelerate [Social Security’s insolvency] timeline, potentially by years, said the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, a nonpartisan group that opposes large federal deficits.
  • In a report released Monday, the organization concluded that many of Trump’s proposed second-term agenda items all work in the same direction when it comes to the Social Security Trust Fund.
  • Compared to prior presidential campaigns, Goldwein said, “I can’t think of anything that would be this order of magnitude” in its detrimental effect on Social Security’s bottom line compared to the policies Trump has proposed.
  • Trump’s proposed high tariffs on all imports could affect the economy in several ways detrimental to Social Security’s financial health, CRFB said. If the tariffs drive high inflation as projected by Wall Street experts, Social Security will have to pay out more in benefits because of automatic cost-of-living adjustments based on inflation.
  • All added up, the report forecasts that Social Security under Trump would hit the point where by law it must cut benefits in 2031 or 2032. And unless Congress changes the law that triggers the automatic cuts, the size of the cut to benefits would rise, from a current projection of a 23 percent reduction for all Social Security checks to a predicted cut of about 33 percent.